Two years ago, MLB pushed the draft back from the first week of June to the All-Star break in an effort to better market the event, and it will remain there moving forward, even though many executives don't like it. Clevinger didn’t meet the innings threshold, and Verlander dropped to a C+ (85, 10.0%) in 2019.The 2023 MLB Draft is a little more than two weeks away. They were joined by Mike Clevinger (57 Adjusted Contact Score, 18.9% Whiff Rate) and Justin Verlander (50, 11.7%). Jakob Junis, with a 120 Adjusted Contact Score and an 8.3% whiff rate (2nd worst), earned a “C”.Ģ018 “A” GRADE RECIPIENTS: We’ve already discussed Morton and Nola. How did that happen? Well, he allowed 22 fly balls off of his curve, and six of them were hit at 105 MPH or harder. THE WORST CURVES: Robbie Ray earned a “D” on the strength of his incredibly poor 243 Adjusted Contact Score, which was over FOUR standard deviations worse than league average. By far, Morton came closest to an “A” among the “B+” group, which also included Lance Lynn (65, 14.7%), Stephen Strasburg (68, 15.3%) and Max Fried (69, 15.5%). Contact Score, 16.9% Whiff Rate) and Aaron Nola (100, 16.3%). JUST MISSED: Five pitchers got “B+” grades, led by two 2018 Grade “A” guys, Charlie Morton (60 Adj. Bieber threw his knuckle-curve 20.2% of the time in 2019. Bieber’s curve moved a bit more, though, with 6.6 inches of vertical movement (tied for 14th most among qualifiers), but only 2.3 inches of horizontal movement (tied for 4th least). He threw the 2nd hardest curve on average, at 82.9 MPH, behind only Marquez.
#Most swing and miss pitchers 2019 full
His pitch-specific whiff rate, however, was even better than his Rockies’ counterpart, over two full standard deviations better than league average. His knuckle-curve’s batted ball type frequency profile closely matched league norms, and his authority profile was similar, though slightly worse than Marquez’. RHP Shane Bieber (Indians) - A (111, 24.5%) - Bieber took a very similar path as Marquez to his “A” grade. He throws his knuckle-curve more often than our other A-grade recipients, with a 23.5% usage rate in 2019. It doesn’t move all that much, with the least vertical (2.2 inches) and third least horizontal (1.8 inches) movement, on average. Marquez throws his knuckle-curve very hard, at an average velocity of 84.8 MPH, hardest among his peers. In 2018, Marquez received a “B+” for this pitch, with a 106 Adjusted Contact Score and 21.0% whiff rate slight improvement on both counts nudged his grade upward this time around. Both pitchers also posted average range pitch-specific Adjusted Contact Scores, with Marquez’ 99 leading the way.Īctually, both frequency and authority-wise, Marquez’ Contact Management profile was quite unremarkable, closely in line with league-wide norms. Marquez ranked second to the pitcher covered below in whiff rate, as both hurlers posted marks over two full standard deviations above league average. With both of the knuckle-curves receiving “A” grades, it was all-about bat-missing.
RHP German Marquez (Rockies) - A (99, 23.8%) - It was a rough year for Marquez and the entire Rockies’ pitching staff in 2019, but his knuckle-curve was a clear bright spot. Despite its success, he didn’t throw the pitch all that often in either 2018 (10.9%) or 2019 (14.6%). Greinke recorded a “B” grade on his curve in 2018 (106 Adj. It relies more on movement, ranking tied for 7th in average horizontal movement (7.0 inches) and 11th in average vertical movement (7.5 inches).
Stylistically, Greinke throws a very soft curve, at an average of 70.7 MPH, 2nd lowest among qualifiers.
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